Week 1 Overview · 2 top matchups
★
San José State
@
Eastern Michigan
San José State
@
Eastern Michigan
-3.0
· 56.5
2026-09-04T22:30:00.000Z
- total Eastern Michigan averages 68 plays/game (1 game) vs. San José State's 56 plays/game (1 game) — a pace mismatch that tends to push total plays run, and scoring chances, up.
- side San José State averages 102 rush yds/game (1 game) — Eastern Michigan allows 49 rush yds/game on defense (1 game). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: San José State #121 nat'l, Eastern Michigan #122 nat'l.
- side San José State is forcing more turnovers than it commits by 1.0/game (1 game) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
- side Eastern Michigan is forcing more turnovers than it commits by 1.0/game (1 game) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
★
UNLV
@
Hawai'i
UNLV
@
Hawai'i
+3.0
· 56.5
2026-09-06T02:00:00.000Z
- total Both defenses are giving up more than the FBS average of ~355 yds/game (UNLV allows 418, Hawai'i allows 483) — two defenses on the softer side, a shootout-friendly signal for the total. SP+ agrees: UNLV #84 nat'l defense, Hawai'i #91 nat'l.
- side Hawai'i averages 276 pass yds/game (1 game) — UNLV allows 223 pass yds/game on defense (1 game). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: Hawai'i #83 nat'l, UNLV #55 nat'l.
- side UNLV is forcing more turnovers than it commits by 1.0/game (1 game) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
- side Hawai'i is committing more turnovers than it forces by 1.0/game (1 game) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
No top matchups at this sensitivity — try Loose.