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Rice @ North Texas
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· DATCU Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies North Texas
by 16.1
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): North Texas -16.5,
O/U 64.5
Flags
North Texas
- 🟢 side North Texas averages 348 pass yds/game (8 games) — Rice allows 208 pass yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: North Texas #72 nat'l, Rice #122 nat'l.
Head-to-head
- 🟡 total North Texas averages 72 plays/game (8 games) vs. Rice's 62 plays/game (8 games) — a pace mismatch that tends to push total plays run, and scoring chances, up.
Rice Offense vs. North Texas Defense
Rice offense: 8 games this season ·
North Texas defense: 8 games this season
Rice: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 70 nationally ·
North Texas: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 59 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Rice offense | North Texas defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 355 #98 | 396 #109 |
| Rush yards | 272 #4 | 161 #97 |
| Pass yards | 82 #136 | 234 #100 |
| Plays | 62 | 69 |
| 3rd down % | 31% #129 | 38% #62 |
| Turnovers | 1 #76 | 2 #31 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 19 (#111 nat'l) | 34 (#119 nat'l) |
North Texas Offense vs. Rice Defense
North Texas offense: 8 games this season ·
Rice defense: 8 games this season
North Texas: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 92 nationally ·
Rice: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 62 nationally
| Stat (per game) | North Texas offense | Rice defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 536 #1 | 383 #96 |
| Rush yards | 188 #35 | 176 #110 |
| Pass yards | 348 #2 | 208 #58 |
| Plays | 72 | 68 |
| 3rd down % | 50% #18 | 44% #120 |
| Turnovers | 1 #63 | 1 #133 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 34 (#24 nat'l) | 33 (#115 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Rice | North Texas |
|---|
| Total yards | 355 | 536 |
| Rush yards | 272 | 188 |
| Pass yards | 82 | 348 |
| Plays | 62 | 72 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Rice Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. North Texas
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for North Texas's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. North Texas |
|---|
| Jacurri Brown (Passing) |
68 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~100 yds · 0.4 TD
(North Texas defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 234 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jacurri Brown (Rushing) |
91 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
7 |
~132 yds · 1.1 TD
(North Texas defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 161 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Tyvonn Byars (Rushing) |
53 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~77 yds · 0.3 TD
(North Texas defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 161 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jordan Clark (Receiving) |
28 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~41 yds · 0.0 TD
(North Texas defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 234 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Braylen Walker (Receiving) |
19 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
5 |
~27 yds · 0.2 TD
(North Texas defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 234 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Barry Jackson Jr. (Receiving) |
28 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
4 |
~41 yds · 0.3 TD
(North Texas defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 234 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Jacurri Brown |
471 | 2 | 2 |
7 |
| Gael Ochoa |
160 | 1 | 0 |
4 |
| Patrick Crayton Jr. |
29 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Jacurri Brown |
118 | 668 | 6 |
7 |
| Tyvonn Byars |
97 | 465 | 2 |
8 |
| Gael Ochoa |
25 | 278 | 5 |
4 |
| DAndre Hardeman Jr. |
74 | 257 | 2 |
7 |
| Max Mosey |
20 | 163 | 1 |
7 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Jordan Clark |
20 | 257 | 0 |
8 |
| Braylen Walker |
6 | 111 | 1 |
5 |
| Barry Jackson Jr. |
7 | 102 | 1 |
4 |
| Ben Grice |
6 | 64 | 0 |
4 |
| Max Mosey |
3 | 49 | 1 |
3 |
North Texas Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Rice
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Rice's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Rice |
|---|
| Tayven Jackson (Passing) |
265 yds/gm · 2.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~377 yds · 2.9 TD
(Rice defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jahiem White (Rushing) |
108 yds/gm · 1.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~154 yds · 2.0 TD
(Rice defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 176 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Brendon Haygood (Rushing) |
25 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
6 |
~36 yds · 0.4 TD
(Rice defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 176 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Justin Stevenson (Receiving) |
78 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
8 |
~111 yds · 1.1 TD
(Rice defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Max Reese (Receiving) |
39 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~55 yds · 0.5 TD
(Rice defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Corri Milliner (Receiving) |
65 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
5 |
~93 yds · 0.2 TD
(Rice defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Tayven Jackson |
2568 | 22 | 5 |
8 |
| Chaston Ditta |
159 | 1 | 0 |
4 |
| Chris Jimerson Jr. |
55 | 1 | 0 |
2 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Jahiem White |
143 | 1043 | 13 |
8 |
| Brendon Haygood |
41 | 171 | 2 |
6 |
| Chris Jimerson Jr. |
15 | 91 | 0 |
5 |
| Tayven Jackson |
30 | 76 | 2 |
7 |
| Nick Osho |
11 | 41 | 0 |
3 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Justin Stevenson |
50 | 781 | 8 |
8 |
| Max Reese |
24 | 335 | 3 |
7 |
| Corri Milliner |
20 | 325 | 1 |
5 |
| Kyle Koch |
28 | 324 | 6 |
6 |
| Jahiem White |
29 | 277 | 2 |
8 |