Texas A&M @ South Carolina

2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z · Williams-Brice Stadium

Power rating (SP+) implies South Carolina by 3.8 (rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).

Market line (DraftKings): South Carolina -7.0 (opened -6.5), O/U 51.5

Model vs. market gap: power rating leans 3.2 pts more toward Texas A&M than the market line does.

Flags

Texas A&M

🟡 side Texas A&M averages 156 rush yds/game (8 games) — South Carolina allows 115 rush yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: Texas A&M #34 nat'l, South Carolina #28 nat'l.

South Carolina

🟢 side South Carolina averages 218 rush yds/game (8 games) — Texas A&M allows 133 rush yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: South Carolina #28 nat'l, Texas A&M #34 nat'l.
🟡 side South Carolina averages 247 pass yds/game (8 games) — Texas A&M allows 182 pass yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: South Carolina #28 nat'l, Texas A&M #34 nat'l.

Head-to-head

🟡 total Both defenses are well under the FBS average of ~388 yds/game (Texas A&M allows 316, South Carolina allows 340) — two stout defenses, an under-friendly signal for the total. SP+ agrees: Texas A&M #33 nat'l defense, South Carolina #47 nat'l.

Texas A&M Offense vs. South Carolina Defense

Texas A&M offense: 8 games this season · South Carolina defense: 8 games this season

Texas A&M: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 48 nationally · South Carolina: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 48 nationally

Stat (per game)	Texas A&M offense	South Carolina defense allowed
Total yards	347 #106	340 #51
Rush yards	156 #72	115 #31
Pass yards	191 #109	225 #91
Plays	68	66
3rd down %	42% #50	38% #60
Turnovers	1 #76	1 #121
SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted)	30 (#44 nat'l)	23 (#47 nat'l)

South Carolina Offense vs. Texas A&M Defense

South Carolina offense: 8 games this season · Texas A&M defense: 8 games this season

South Carolina: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 45 nationally · Texas A&M: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 46 nationally

Stat (per game)	South Carolina offense	Texas A&M defense allowed
Total yards	464 #15	316 #30
Rush yards	218 #13	133 #56
Pass yards	247 #46	182 #30
Plays	71	57
3rd down %	48% #21	31% #19
Turnovers	2 #103	1 #45
SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted)	34 (#23 nat'l)	21 (#33 nat'l)

Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)

Stat (per game)	Texas A&M	South Carolina
Total yards	347	464
Rush yards	156	218
Pass yards	191	247
Plays	68	71
Turnovers	1	2

Texas A&M Players

Next Game — Rough Projection vs. South Carolina

"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for South Carolina's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.

Player	Vacuum pace	GP	Projected vs. South Carolina
Marcel Reed (Passing)	193 yds/gm · 1.0 TD/gm	8	~180 yds · 0.9 TD (South Carolina defense: SP+ #47 nat'l, 225 raw yds/gm allowed here)
KJ Edwards (Rushing)	47 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm	8	~44 yds · 0.2 TD (South Carolina defense: SP+ #47 nat'l, 115 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Rueben Owens (Rushing)	45 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm	8	~42 yds · 0.1 TD (South Carolina defense: SP+ #47 nat'l, 115 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Isaiah Horton (Receiving)	43 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm	8	~40 yds · 0.3 TD (South Carolina defense: SP+ #47 nat'l, 225 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Mario Craver (Receiving)	47 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm	7	~44 yds · 0.4 TD (South Carolina defense: SP+ #47 nat'l, 225 raw yds/gm allowed here)
TK Norman (Receiving)	67 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm	3	~62 yds · 0.0 TD (South Carolina defense: SP+ #47 nat'l, 225 raw yds/gm allowed here)

Passing

Player	YDS	TD	INT	GP
Marcel Reed	1388	8	8	8
Brady Hart	143	2	1	3

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	TD	GP
KJ Edwards	55	360	2	8
Rueben Owens	78	332	1	8
Marcel Reed	71	198	3	8
Carsyn Baker	38	155	3	6
Jamarion Morrow	40	146	4	5

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	TD	GP
Isaiah Horton	23	314	3	8
Mario Craver	30	286	3	7
TK Norman	11	179	0	3
Aaron Gregory	11	166	3	5
Kiotti Armstrong	6	98	0	5

South Carolina Players

Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Texas A&M

"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Texas A&M's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.

Player	Vacuum pace	GP	Projected vs. Texas A&M
Lanorris Sellers (Passing)	265 yds/gm · 2.2 TD/gm	8	~221 yds · 1.9 TD (Texas A&M defense: SP+ #33 nat'l, 182 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Lanorris Sellers (Rushing)	93 yds/gm · 1.0 TD/gm	8	~77 yds · 0.8 TD (Texas A&M defense: SP+ #33 nat'l, 133 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Matthew Fuller (Rushing)	73 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm	8	~60 yds · 0.5 TD (Texas A&M defense: SP+ #33 nat'l, 133 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Mazeo Bennett (Receiving)	68 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm	8	~56 yds · 0.5 TD (Texas A&M defense: SP+ #33 nat'l, 182 raw yds/gm allowed here)
Nyck Harbor (Receiving)	53 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm	7	~44 yds · 0.5 TD (Texas A&M defense: SP+ #33 nat'l, 182 raw yds/gm allowed here)
DJ Black (Receiving)	67 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm	6	~56 yds · 0.4 TD (Texas A&M defense: SP+ #33 nat'l, 182 raw yds/gm allowed here)

Passing

Player	YDS	TD	INT	GP
Lanorris Sellers	1849	16	7	8
Cutter Woods	100	1	1	4
Lucian Anderson III	24	0	0	1

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	TD	GP
Lanorris Sellers	98	603	6	8
Matthew Fuller	94	530	5	8
Jabree Coleman	44	284	4	8
Isaiah Augustave	20	145	2	5
Jawarn Howell	18	104	0	4

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	TD	GP
Mazeo Bennett	35	431	4	8
Nyck Harbor	20	334	3	7
DJ Black	15	330	2	6
Donovan Murph	11	205	3	7
Matthew Fuller	18	130	1	6