← Back to schedule
UCF @ Kansas
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Memorial Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Kansas
by 0.8
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Kansas -3.0 (opened -2.5),
O/U 48.5
Flags
Kansas
- 🟢 side Kansas averages 202 rush yds/game (8 games) — UCF allows 126 rush yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: Kansas #60 nat'l, UCF #56 nat'l.
Head-to-head
- 🟡 total Kansas averages 73 plays/game (8 games) vs. UCF's 64 plays/game (8 games) — a pace mismatch that tends to push total plays run, and scoring chances, up.
UCF Offense vs. Kansas Defense
UCF offense: 8 games this season ·
Kansas defense: 8 games this season
UCF: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 46 nationally ·
Kansas: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 60 nationally
| Stat (per game) | UCF offense | Kansas defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 359 #90 | 342 #53 |
| Rush yards | 151 #77 | 164 #99 |
| Pass yards | 208 #94 | 178 #21 |
| Plays | 64 | 64 |
| 3rd down % | 36% #105 | 33% #30 |
| Turnovers | 1 #48 | 1 #97 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 27 (#63 nat'l) | 25 (#57 nat'l) |
Kansas Offense vs. UCF Defense
Kansas offense: 8 games this season ·
UCF defense: 8 games this season
Kansas: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 41 nationally ·
UCF: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 44 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Kansas offense | UCF defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 446 #22 | 376 #85 |
| Rush yards | 202 #22 | 126 #45 |
| Pass yards | 244 #49 | 250 #118 |
| Plays | 73 | 69 |
| 3rd down % | 36% #101 | 40% #91 |
| Turnovers | 2 #114 | 2 #31 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 28 (#61 nat'l) | 23 (#43 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | UCF | Kansas |
|---|
| Total yards | 359 | 446 |
| Rush yards | 151 | 202 |
| Pass yards | 208 | 244 |
| Plays | 64 | 73 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
UCF Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Kansas
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Kansas's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Kansas |
|---|
| Keyone Jenkins (Passing) |
198 yds/gm · 1.8 TD/gm |
7 |
~199 yds · 1.8 TD
(Kansas defense: SP+ #57 nat'l, 178 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Duke Watson (Rushing) |
76 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~77 yds · 0.3 TD
(Kansas defense: SP+ #57 nat'l, 164 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Landen Chambers (Rushing) |
26 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
7 |
~26 yds · 0.7 TD
(Kansas defense: SP+ #57 nat'l, 164 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Joshua Derry (Receiving) |
61 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~61 yds · 0.4 TD
(Kansas defense: SP+ #57 nat'l, 178 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Tyren Hornes (Receiving) |
51 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
7 |
~51 yds · 0.1 TD
(Kansas defense: SP+ #57 nat'l, 178 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Waden Charles (Receiving) |
40 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~41 yds · 0.3 TD
(Kansas defense: SP+ #57 nat'l, 178 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Keyone Jenkins |
1181 | 11 | 4 |
7 |
| Alonza Barnett |
477 | 2 | 1 |
3 |
| Kaleb Annett |
6 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Duke Watson |
92 | 597 | 3 |
8 |
| Landen Chambers |
42 | 185 | 4 |
7 |
| Taevion Swint |
32 | 162 | 2 |
6 |
| Agyeman Addae |
6 | 74 | 1 |
2 |
| Rocco Marriott |
5 | 72 | 1 |
3 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Joshua Derry |
37 | 428 | 3 |
8 |
| Tyren Hornes |
22 | 282 | 1 |
7 |
| Waden Charles |
23 | 262 | 2 |
7 |
| Caden Piening |
15 | 159 | 2 |
6 |
| Ric'Darious Farmer |
13 | 147 | 0 |
6 |
Kansas Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. UCF
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for UCF's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. UCF |
|---|
| Isaiah Marshall (Passing) |
245 yds/gm · 1.8 TD/gm |
7 |
~222 yds · 1.7 TD
(UCF defense: SP+ #43 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Dylan Edwards (Rushing) |
78 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~70 yds · 0.4 TD
(UCF defense: SP+ #43 nat'l, 126 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Isaiah Marshall (Rushing) |
58 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
7 |
~52 yds · 0.3 TD
(UCF defense: SP+ #43 nat'l, 126 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Nik McMillan (Receiving) |
76 yds/gm · 0.9 TD/gm |
7 |
~69 yds · 0.8 TD
(UCF defense: SP+ #43 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Nahzae Cox (Receiving) |
71 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~64 yds · 0.3 TD
(UCF defense: SP+ #43 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Cam Pickett (Receiving) |
69 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
6 |
~62 yds · 0.2 TD
(UCF defense: SP+ #43 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Isaiah Marshall |
1506 | 11 | 7 |
7 |
| Cole Ballard |
381 | 1 | 1 |
4 |
| Chase Jenkins |
65 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Dylan Edwards |
125 | 574 | 4 |
8 |
| Isaiah Marshall |
89 | 403 | 2 |
7 |
| Yasin Willis |
27 | 125 | 2 |
3 |
| Jalen Dupree |
25 | 111 | 2 |
4 |
| Keaton Kubecka |
5 | 74 | 0 |
2 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Nik McMillan |
25 | 466 | 5 |
7 |
| Nahzae Cox |
15 | 404 | 2 |
7 |
| Cam Pickett |
31 | 323 | 1 |
6 |
| Dylan Edwards |
19 | 178 | 1 |
8 |
| Carson Bruhn |
14 | 157 | 1 |
6 |