← Back to schedule
West Virginia @ Texas Tech
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Jones AT&T Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Texas Tech
by 20.9
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Texas Tech -16.5 (opened -17.5),
O/U 63.5
Model vs. market gap: power rating leans 4.4 pts more toward
Texas Tech than the market line does.
Flags
Texas Tech
- 🟡 side Texas Tech averages 207 rush yds/game (8 games) — West Virginia allows 166 rush yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: Texas Tech #9 nat'l, West Virginia #70 nat'l.
Head-to-head
- 🟡 total West Virginia averages 75 plays/game (8 games) vs. Texas Tech's 68 plays/game (8 games) — a pace mismatch that tends to push total plays run, and scoring chances, up.
West Virginia Offense vs. Texas Tech Defense
West Virginia offense: 8 games this season ·
Texas Tech defense: 8 games this season
West Virginia: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 54 nationally ·
Texas Tech: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 55 nationally
| Stat (per game) | West Virginia offense | Texas Tech defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 468 #13 | 380 #94 |
| Rush yards | 262 #5 | 95 #13 |
| Pass yards | 206 #96 | 285 #135 |
| Plays | 75 | 71 |
| 3rd down % | 48% #20 | 38% #68 |
| Turnovers | 1 #35 | 2 #14 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 33 (#30 nat'l) | 18 (#23 nat'l) |
Texas Tech Offense vs. West Virginia Defense
Texas Tech offense: 8 games this season ·
West Virginia defense: 8 games this season
Texas Tech: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 62 nationally ·
West Virginia: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 55 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Texas Tech offense | West Virginia defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 426 #36 | 484 #137 |
| Rush yards | 207 #18 | 166 #102 |
| Pass yards | 219 #81 | 318 #138 |
| Plays | 68 | 69 |
| 3rd down % | 39% #85 | 41% #98 |
| Turnovers | 2 #114 | 1 #60 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 36 (#10 nat'l) | 33 (#115 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | West Virginia | Texas Tech |
|---|
| Total yards | 468 | 426 |
| Rush yards | 262 | 207 |
| Pass yards | 206 | 219 |
| Plays | 75 | 68 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
West Virginia Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Texas Tech
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Texas Tech's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Texas Tech |
|---|
| Michael Hawkins Jr. (Passing) |
204 yds/gm · 1.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~155 yds · 1.0 TD
(Texas Tech defense: SP+ #23 nat'l, 285 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Cam Cook (Rushing) |
123 yds/gm · 0.9 TD/gm |
8 |
~93 yds · 0.7 TD
(Texas Tech defense: SP+ #23 nat'l, 95 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Michael Hawkins Jr. (Rushing) |
111 yds/gm · 2.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~84 yds · 1.6 TD
(Texas Tech defense: SP+ #23 nat'l, 95 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| DJ Epps (Receiving) |
89 yds/gm · 0.9 TD/gm |
6 |
~68 yds · 0.7 TD
(Texas Tech defense: SP+ #23 nat'l, 285 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Prince Strachan (Receiving) |
62 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
5 |
~47 yds · 0.0 TD
(Texas Tech defense: SP+ #23 nat'l, 285 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jaden Bray (Receiving) |
29 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
6 |
~22 yds · 0.0 TD
(Texas Tech defense: SP+ #23 nat'l, 285 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Michael Hawkins Jr. |
1598 | 11 | 2 |
8 |
| Scotty Fox Jr. |
27 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
| Jyron Hughley |
27 | 1 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Cam Cook |
186 | 923 | 7 |
8 |
| Michael Hawkins Jr. |
163 | 836 | 16 |
8 |
| Amari Latimer |
40 | 178 | 3 |
7 |
| DJ Epps |
6 | 35 | 0 |
5 |
| Martavious Boswell |
8 | 31 | 0 |
1 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| DJ Epps |
22 | 556 | 5 |
6 |
| Prince Strachan |
14 | 275 | 0 |
5 |
| Jaden Bray |
12 | 174 | 0 |
6 |
| John Neider |
10 | 144 | 0 |
7 |
| Cam Cook |
11 | 115 | 2 |
7 |
Texas Tech Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. West Virginia
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for West Virginia's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. West Virginia |
|---|
| Will Hammond (Passing) |
212 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
7 |
~302 yds · 1.2 TD
(West Virginia defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 318 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| J'Koby Williams (Rushing) |
103 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
8 |
~147 yds · 1.1 TD
(West Virginia defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 166 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Cameron Dickey (Rushing) |
44 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
6 |
~63 yds · 0.8 TD
(West Virginia defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 166 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Kenny Johnson (Receiving) |
68 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~98 yds · 0.4 TD
(West Virginia defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 318 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Coy Eakin (Receiving) |
35 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
7 |
~50 yds · 0.6 TD
(West Virginia defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 318 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Terrance Carter (Receiving) |
33 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
6 |
~48 yds · 0.5 TD
(West Virginia defense: SP+ #115 nat'l, 318 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Will Hammond |
1561 | 6 | 6 |
7 |
| Thomas Castellanos |
189 | 4 | 1 |
5 |
| Kirk Francis |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
| Coy Eakin |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| J'Koby Williams |
100 | 794 | 6 |
8 |
| Cameron Dickey |
66 | 274 | 4 |
6 |
| Quinten Joyner |
57 | 249 | 3 |
8 |
| Thomas Castellanos |
34 | 182 | 3 |
5 |
| Will Hammond |
40 | 110 | 2 |
7 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Kenny Johnson |
35 | 548 | 2 |
8 |
| Coy Eakin |
23 | 263 | 3 |
7 |
| Terrance Carter |
20 | 193 | 2 |
6 |
| J'Koby Williams |
25 | 166 | 0 |
8 |
| Micah Hudson |
13 | 141 | 0 |
7 |