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Marshall @ Georgia Southern
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Georgia Southern
by 8.4
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Georgia Southern -8.5,
O/U 53.5
Flags
Marshall
- 🟡 side Marshall averages 162 rush yds/game (8 games) — Georgia Southern allows 111 rush yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: Marshall #111 nat'l, Georgia Southern #94 nat'l.
Marshall Offense vs. Georgia Southern Defense
Marshall offense: 8 games this season ·
Georgia Southern defense: 8 games this season
Marshall: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 92 nationally ·
Georgia Southern: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 77 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Marshall offense | Georgia Southern defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 388 #67 | 313 #28 |
| Rush yards | 162 #62 | 111 #28 |
| Pass yards | 226 #71 | 201 #50 |
| Plays | 70 | 62 |
| 3rd down % | 37% #95 | 32% #26 |
| Turnovers | 2 #131 | 2 #31 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 24 (#92 nat'l) | 29 (#91 nat'l) |
Georgia Southern Offense vs. Marshall Defense
Georgia Southern offense: 8 games this season ·
Marshall defense: 8 games this season
Georgia Southern: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 69 nationally ·
Marshall: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 89 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Georgia Southern offense | Marshall defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 402 #53 | 427 #128 |
| Rush yards | 119 #115 | 178 #112 |
| Pass yards | 283 #16 | 250 #119 |
| Plays | 70 | 68 |
| 3rd down % | 40% #64 | 39% #80 |
| Turnovers | 1 #25 | 1 #60 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 24 (#86 nat'l) | 34 (#125 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Marshall | Georgia Southern |
|---|
| Total yards | 388 | 402 |
| Rush yards | 162 | 119 |
| Pass yards | 226 | 283 |
| Plays | 70 | 70 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
Marshall Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Georgia Southern
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Georgia Southern's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Georgia Southern |
|---|
| Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Passing) |
148 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
7 |
~185 yds · 1.0 TD
(Georgia Southern defense: SP+ #91 nat'l, 201 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Judah Price (Rushing) |
35 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~43 yds · 0.2 TD
(Georgia Southern defense: SP+ #91 nat'l, 111 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Khalil Wilkins (Rushing) |
25 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~31 yds · 0.0 TD
(Georgia Southern defense: SP+ #91 nat'l, 111 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw (Receiving) |
46 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
7 |
~58 yds · 0.7 TD
(Georgia Southern defense: SP+ #91 nat'l, 201 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Toby Payne (Receiving) |
29 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~37 yds · 0.0 TD
(Georgia Southern defense: SP+ #91 nat'l, 201 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Adrian Norton (Receiving) |
30 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
6 |
~38 yds · 0.0 TD
(Georgia Southern defense: SP+ #91 nat'l, 201 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Carlos Del Rio-Wilson |
1080 | 6 | 5 |
7 |
| Zion Turner |
608 | 2 | 3 |
6 |
| Khalil Wilkins |
122 | 0 | 0 |
6 |
| Owen Sweeney |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Judah Price |
56 | 319 | 2 |
7 |
| Khalil Wilkins |
41 | 256 | 0 |
8 |
| Joshon Barbie |
56 | 252 | 2 |
7 |
| Carlos Del Rio-Wilson |
70 | 224 | 2 |
7 |
| TJ Lester |
36 | 209 | 4 |
8 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw |
26 | 372 | 4 |
7 |
| Toby Payne |
30 | 269 | 0 |
8 |
| Adrian Norton |
22 | 237 | 0 |
6 |
| Owen Sweeney |
18 | 209 | 1 |
8 |
| De'Andre Tamarez |
10 | 161 | 0 |
4 |
Georgia Southern Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Marshall
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Marshall's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Marshall |
|---|
| Max Johnson (Passing) |
238 yds/gm · 1.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~356 yds · 2.1 TD
(Marshall defense: SP+ #125 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| David Mbadinga (Rushing) |
30 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
7 |
~45 yds · 0.0 TD
(Marshall defense: SP+ #125 nat'l, 178 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Weston Bryan (Rushing) |
20 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
8 |
~30 yds · 0.8 TD
(Marshall defense: SP+ #125 nat'l, 178 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Alex Taylor (Receiving) |
49 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~74 yds · 0.5 TD
(Marshall defense: SP+ #125 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Josh Dallas (Receiving) |
51 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~77 yds · 0.0 TD
(Marshall defense: SP+ #125 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| River Helms (Receiving) |
35 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~53 yds · 0.3 TD
(Marshall defense: SP+ #125 nat'l, 250 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Max Johnson |
1928 | 11 | 2 |
8 |
| Turner Helton |
275 | 1 | 1 |
2 |
| Taylor Bradshaw |
32 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
| Weston Bryan |
26 | 0 | 0 |
6 |
| Taeo Todd |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| David Mbadinga |
44 | 239 | 0 |
7 |
| Weston Bryan |
41 | 201 | 5 |
8 |
| Tyrese Woodgett |
37 | 176 | 0 |
4 |
| Terrance Gibbs |
16 | 87 | 1 |
3 |
| Jamarian Samuel |
16 | 85 | 1 |
5 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Alex Taylor |
34 | 435 | 3 |
8 |
| Josh Dallas |
48 | 409 | 0 |
8 |
| River Helms |
30 | 312 | 2 |
8 |
| Jeremiah Ware |
18 | 272 | 0 |
7 |
| Ashton Hollins |
14 | 202 | 2 |
3 |