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Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Brooks Stadium (SC)
Power rating (SP+) implies Coastal Carolina
by 6.9
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Coastal Carolina -6.5 (opened -7.0),
O/U 45.5
Flags
No flags cleared the threshold for this matchup — nothing stood out in the stats gathered so far.
Old Dominion Offense vs. Coastal Carolina Defense
Old Dominion offense: 9 games this season ·
Coastal Carolina defense: 8 games this season
Old Dominion: opponents faced (9 games): average defense SP+ rank 82 nationally ·
Coastal Carolina: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 75 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Old Dominion offense | Coastal Carolina defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 268 #138 | 412 #119 |
| Rush yards | 97 #134 | 194 #126 |
| Pass yards | 171 #124 | 218 #79 |
| Plays | 63 | 67 |
| 3rd down % | 34% #114 | 43% #114 |
| Turnovers | 2 #138 | 2 #9 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 13 (#135 nat'l) | 34 (#119 nat'l) |
Coastal Carolina Offense vs. Old Dominion Defense
Coastal Carolina offense: 8 games this season ·
Old Dominion defense: 9 games this season
Coastal Carolina: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 102 nationally ·
Old Dominion: opponents faced (9 games): average offense SP+ rank 76 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Coastal Carolina offense | Old Dominion defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 382 #72 | 347 #58 |
| Rush yards | 138 #97 | 144 #72 |
| Pass yards | 243 #50 | 204 #54 |
| Plays | 65 | 72 |
| 3rd down % | 36% #104 | 34% #35 |
| Turnovers | 2 #114 | 1 #42 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 23 (#96 nat'l) | 28 (#79 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Old Dominion | Coastal Carolina |
|---|
| Total yards | 268 | 382 |
| Rush yards | 97 | 138 |
| Pass yards | 171 | 243 |
| Plays | 63 | 65 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
Old Dominion Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Coastal Carolina
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Coastal Carolina's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Coastal Carolina |
|---|
| Quinn Henicle (Passing) |
102 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
6 |
~148 yds · 1.0 TD
(Coastal Carolina defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 218 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Devin Roche (Rushing) |
40 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
9 |
~57 yds · 0.0 TD
(Coastal Carolina defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 194 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Quinn Henicle (Rushing) |
53 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
6 |
~77 yds · 1.0 TD
(Coastal Carolina defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 194 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Josh Rodriguez (Receiving) |
36 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
9 |
~52 yds · 0.0 TD
(Coastal Carolina defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 218 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| TJ Johnson (Receiving) |
36 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~53 yds · 0.5 TD
(Coastal Carolina defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 218 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Kendall Harris (Receiving) |
30 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~43 yds · 0.0 TD
(Coastal Carolina defense: SP+ #119 nat'l, 218 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Quinn Henicle |
648 | 4 | 4 |
6 |
| Jaxon Potter |
495 | 0 | 4 |
3 |
| Ryan Huff |
394 | 2 | 1 |
4 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Devin Roche |
109 | 401 | 0 |
9 |
| Quinn Henicle |
87 | 339 | 4 |
6 |
| Trey Hall |
36 | 106 | 0 |
9 |
| Maurki James |
33 | 103 | 4 |
7 |
| Ja'Varien Salter |
10 | 47 | 0 |
3 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Josh Rodriguez |
30 | 377 | 0 |
9 |
| TJ Johnson |
18 | 307 | 3 |
8 |
| Kendall Harris |
22 | 284 | 0 |
8 |
| Leon Haughton Jr. |
19 | 214 | 3 |
9 |
| JJ Harrell |
9 | 120 | 0 |
5 |
Coastal Carolina Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Old Dominion
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Old Dominion's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Old Dominion |
|---|
| Deuce Bailey (Passing) |
193 yds/gm · 1.9 TD/gm |
8 |
~225 yds · 2.2 TD
(Old Dominion defense: SP+ #79 nat'l, 204 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Dominic Knicely (Rushing) |
46 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~54 yds · 0.4 TD
(Old Dominion defense: SP+ #79 nat'l, 144 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Deuce Bailey (Rushing) |
24 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~28 yds · 0.0 TD
(Old Dominion defense: SP+ #79 nat'l, 144 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Clayton Coppock (Receiving) |
38 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
7 |
~44 yds · 0.6 TD
(Old Dominion defense: SP+ #79 nat'l, 204 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Colton Hinton (Receiving) |
45 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
6 |
~53 yds · 0.7 TD
(Old Dominion defense: SP+ #79 nat'l, 204 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Robby Washington (Receiving) |
33 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~39 yds · 0.3 TD
(Old Dominion defense: SP+ #79 nat'l, 204 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Deuce Bailey |
1935 | 19 | 6 |
8 |
| Tre Guerra |
11 | 0 | 0 |
2 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Dominic Knicely |
92 | 484 | 3 |
8 |
| Deuce Bailey |
79 | 232 | 0 |
8 |
| Jevon Edwards |
44 | 141 | 0 |
5 |
| Jaden Allen-Hendrix |
33 | 129 | 4 |
7 |
| Breyahn Townsend |
11 | 39 | 0 |
5 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Clayton Coppock |
20 | 350 | 5 |
7 |
| Colton Hinton |
16 | 323 | 4 |
6 |
| Robby Washington |
19 | 304 | 2 |
7 |
| Tristian Gardner |
19 | 262 | 2 |
8 |
| Karmello English |
22 | 236 | 2 |
7 |