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Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan
2026-11-04T05:00:00.000Z
· Ford Field
Power rating (SP+) implies Eastern Michigan
by 2.1
(rating gap only — neutral site, no home-field adjustment applied).
Market line (DraftKings): Eastern Michigan -1.5,
O/U 44.5
Flags
Head-to-head
- 🟡 total Eastern Michigan averages 67 plays/game (9 games) vs. Central Michigan's 60 plays/game (8 games) — a pace mismatch that tends to push total plays run, and scoring chances, up.
Central Michigan Offense vs. Eastern Michigan Defense
Central Michigan offense: 8 games this season ·
Eastern Michigan defense: 9 games this season
Central Michigan: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 62 nationally ·
Eastern Michigan: opponents faced (9 games): average offense SP+ rank 106 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Central Michigan offense | Eastern Michigan defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 292 #133 | 376 #86 |
| Rush yards | 169 #51 | 136 #64 |
| Pass yards | 122 #134 | 240 #107 |
| Plays | 60 | 62 |
| 3rd down % | 36% #103 | 41% #94 |
| Turnovers | 1 #76 | 1 #76 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 15 (#130 nat'l) | 32 (#112 nat'l) |
Eastern Michigan Offense vs. Central Michigan Defense
Eastern Michigan offense: 9 games this season ·
Central Michigan defense: 8 games this season
Eastern Michigan: opponents faced (9 games): average defense SP+ rank 81 nationally ·
Central Michigan: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 87 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Eastern Michigan offense | Central Michigan defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 319 #126 | 359 #68 |
| Rush yards | 106 #130 | 179 #113 |
| Pass yards | 213 #85 | 180 #25 |
| Plays | 67 | 64 |
| 3rd down % | 39% #84 | 51% #136 |
| Turnovers | 1 #60 | 2 #14 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 17 (#122 nat'l) | 31 (#108 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan |
|---|
| Total yards | 292 | 319 |
| Rush yards | 169 | 106 |
| Pass yards | 122 | 213 |
| Plays | 60 | 67 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Central Michigan Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Eastern Michigan
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Eastern Michigan's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Eastern Michigan |
|---|
| Angel H Flores (Passing) |
64 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~89 yds · 0.3 TD
(Eastern Michigan defense: SP+ #112 nat'l, 240 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Angel H Flores (Rushing) |
81 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
7 |
~114 yds · 0.7 TD
(Eastern Michigan defense: SP+ #112 nat'l, 136 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jayden Clerveaux (Rushing) |
35 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~50 yds · 0.3 TD
(Eastern Michigan defense: SP+ #112 nat'l, 136 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Langston Lewis (Receiving) |
48 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~67 yds · 0.3 TD
(Eastern Michigan defense: SP+ #112 nat'l, 240 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Braylen Naves (Receiving) |
18 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
5 |
~26 yds · 0.0 TD
(Eastern Michigan defense: SP+ #112 nat'l, 240 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Shawn Foster (Receiving) |
15 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
4 |
~21 yds · 0.2 TD
(Eastern Michigan defense: SP+ #112 nat'l, 240 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Angel H Flores |
475 | 2 | 2 |
7 |
| Jadyn Glasser |
463 | 2 | 3 |
7 |
| Marcus Beamon |
40 | 0 | 0 |
2 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Angel H Flores |
128 | 618 | 4 |
7 |
| Jayden Clerveaux |
50 | 271 | 2 |
7 |
| Vaughn Blue |
43 | 187 | 1 |
7 |
| Nicholas Woodford |
25 | 135 | 3 |
7 |
| Brock Townsend |
15 | 81 | 2 |
8 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Langston Lewis |
24 | 379 | 2 |
7 |
| Braylen Naves |
10 | 96 | 0 |
5 |
| Shawn Foster |
7 | 77 | 1 |
4 |
| Justin Ruffin Jr. |
11 | 68 | 0 |
5 |
| Jaden Allen |
5 | 66 | 1 |
2 |
Eastern Michigan Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Central Michigan
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Central Michigan's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Central Michigan |
|---|
| Noah Kim (Passing) |
182 yds/gm · 1.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~250 yds · 1.7 TD
(Central Michigan defense: SP+ #108 nat'l, 180 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Amareon Blue (Rushing) |
39 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
9 |
~54 yds · 0.4 TD
(Central Michigan defense: SP+ #108 nat'l, 179 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Braydon Bennett (Rushing) |
27 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
9 |
~37 yds · 0.2 TD
(Central Michigan defense: SP+ #108 nat'l, 179 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Joshua Long (Receiving) |
35 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
9 |
~48 yds · 0.3 TD
(Central Michigan defense: SP+ #108 nat'l, 180 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Harold Mack (Receiving) |
40 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~55 yds · 0.6 TD
(Central Michigan defense: SP+ #108 nat'l, 180 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Ben Prosper (Receiving) |
41 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
7 |
~56 yds · 0.2 TD
(Central Michigan defense: SP+ #108 nat'l, 180 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Noah Kim |
1678 | 11 | 4 |
8 |
| Brogan McCaughey |
215 | 1 | 1 |
2 |
| Jace Stuckey |
24 | 0 | 0 |
2 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Amareon Blue |
79 | 405 | 3 |
9 |
| Braydon Bennett |
63 | 280 | 2 |
9 |
| Joey Mattord |
60 | 265 | 1 |
9 |
| Decorie Johnson |
9 | 34 | 0 |
3 |
| Brogan McCaughey |
12 | 14 | 0 |
2 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Joshua Long |
42 | 383 | 2 |
9 |
| Harold Mack |
34 | 367 | 4 |
8 |
| Ben Prosper |
34 | 346 | 1 |
7 |
| Nick Devereaux |
19 | 171 | 2 |
5 |
| Joey Mattord |
25 | 163 | 1 |
8 |