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Ohio @ Akron
2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z
· InfoCision Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Ohio
by 21.1
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Akron +12.5,
O/U 48.5
Model vs. market gap: power rating leans 8.6 pts more toward
Ohio than the market line does.
Flags
Akron
- 🟡 side Akron is committing more turnovers than it forces by 1.0/game (8 games) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
Ohio Offense vs. Akron Defense
Ohio offense: 8 games this season ·
Akron defense: 8 games this season
Ohio: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 101 nationally ·
Akron: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 99 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Ohio offense | Akron defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 369 #80 | 412 #120 |
| Rush yards | 192 #29 | 186 #118 |
| Pass yards | 177 #120 | 227 #93 |
| Plays | 63 | 62 |
| 3rd down % | 49% #19 | 39% #76 |
| Turnovers | 1 #63 | 1 #97 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 24 (#90 nat'l) | 38 (#135 nat'l) |
Akron Offense vs. Ohio Defense
Akron offense: 8 games this season ·
Ohio defense: 8 games this season
Akron: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 80 nationally ·
Ohio: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 102 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Akron offense | Ohio defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 350 #102 | 333 #45 |
| Rush yards | 134 #101 | 135 #60 |
| Pass yards | 215 #83 | 198 #46 |
| Plays | 66 | 62 |
| 3rd down % | 41% #63 | 39% #74 |
| Turnovers | 2 #134 | 1 #121 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 14 (#132 nat'l) | 26 (#63 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Ohio | Akron |
|---|
| Total yards | 369 | 350 |
| Rush yards | 192 | 134 |
| Pass yards | 177 | 215 |
| Plays | 63 | 66 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
Ohio Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Akron
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Akron's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Akron |
|---|
| Nick Poulos (Passing) |
131 yds/gm · 1.0 TD/gm |
5 |
~205 yds · 1.6 TD
(Akron defense: SP+ #135 nat'l, 227 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Victor Rosa (Rushing) |
35 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
8 |
~56 yds · 0.8 TD
(Akron defense: SP+ #135 nat'l, 186 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Duncan Brune (Rushing) |
46 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
6 |
~72 yds · 0.5 TD
(Akron defense: SP+ #135 nat'l, 186 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Riley Neer (Receiving) |
57 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
8 |
~89 yds · 0.8 TD
(Akron defense: SP+ #135 nat'l, 227 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Dom Dorwart (Receiving) |
34 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~53 yds · 0.6 TD
(Akron defense: SP+ #135 nat'l, 227 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Preston Bowman (Receiving) |
19 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~30 yds · 0.3 TD
(Akron defense: SP+ #135 nat'l, 227 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Nick Poulos |
769 | 6 | 0 |
5 |
| Matt Vezza |
444 | 4 | 3 |
6 |
| Levi Davis |
203 | 2 | 0 |
5 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Victor Rosa |
77 | 364 | 5 |
8 |
| Duncan Brune |
81 | 352 | 3 |
6 |
| Irving Brown |
23 | 219 | 1 |
4 |
| Nick Poulos |
44 | 203 | 2 |
5 |
| Matt Vezza |
36 | 182 | 3 |
5 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Riley Neer |
37 | 496 | 5 |
8 |
| Dom Dorwart |
18 | 339 | 4 |
8 |
| Preston Bowman |
16 | 198 | 2 |
7 |
| Jake Furtney |
13 | 128 | 0 |
6 |
| Riley Palmeter |
5 | 61 | 0 |
3 |
Akron Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Ohio
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Ohio's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Ohio |
|---|
| Brayden Roggow (Passing) |
141 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
8 |
~148 yds · 0.8 TD
(Ohio defense: SP+ #63 nat'l, 198 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jordan Gant (Rushing) |
61 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
8 |
~64 yds · 0.6 TD
(Ohio defense: SP+ #63 nat'l, 135 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Sean Patrick (Rushing) |
30 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
7 |
~32 yds · 0.0 TD
(Ohio defense: SP+ #63 nat'l, 135 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Marcel Williams (Receiving) |
39 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~41 yds · 0.3 TD
(Ohio defense: SP+ #63 nat'l, 198 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Kyan Mason (Receiving) |
34 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~36 yds · 0.0 TD
(Ohio defense: SP+ #63 nat'l, 198 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Miles Burris (Receiving) |
24 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~25 yds · 0.1 TD
(Ohio defense: SP+ #63 nat'l, 198 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Brayden Roggow |
1343 | 7 | 10 |
8 |
| Cibastian Broughton |
380 | 4 | 0 |
3 |
| Semaj Beals |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
| Jordan Gant |
0 | 0 | 1 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Jordan Gant |
126 | 614 | 6 |
8 |
| Sean Patrick |
42 | 225 | 0 |
7 |
| Cibastian Broughton |
31 | 174 | 0 |
4 |
| Marquese Williams |
18 | 91 | 1 |
6 |
| Taven Curry |
6 | 31 | 0 |
4 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Marcel Williams |
30 | 337 | 3 |
7 |
| Kyan Mason |
25 | 334 | 0 |
8 |
| Miles Burris |
21 | 241 | 1 |
8 |
| Jordan Gant |
17 | 139 | 0 |
8 |
| Elijah Alexander |
16 | 133 | 3 |
8 |