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Tulsa @ Tulane
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Yulman Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Tulsa
by 3.5
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Tulane +3.0,
O/U 48.5
Flags
Tulsa
- 🟡 side Tulsa is forcing more turnovers than it commits by 1.2/game (8 games) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
Tulsa Offense vs. Tulane Defense
Tulsa offense: 8 games this season ·
Tulane defense: 8 games this season
Tulsa: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 97 nationally ·
Tulane: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 62 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Tulsa offense | Tulane defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 370 #79 | 422 #125 |
| Rush yards | 158 #67 | 214 #132 |
| Pass yards | 212 #87 | 208 #59 |
| Plays | 65 | 72 |
| 3rd down % | 33% #119 | 50% #134 |
| Turnovers | 1 #7 | 1 #60 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 27 (#68 nat'l) | 28 (#83 nat'l) |
Tulane Offense vs. Tulsa Defense
Tulane offense: 8 games this season ·
Tulsa defense: 8 games this season
Tulane: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 92 nationally ·
Tulsa: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 62 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Tulane offense | Tulsa defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 349 #104 | 405 #114 |
| Rush yards | 146 #88 | 202 #130 |
| Pass yards | 203 #99 | 203 #53 |
| Plays | 61 | 73 |
| 3rd down % | 41% #57 | 41% #94 |
| Turnovers | 2 #114 | 2 #9 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 19 (#110 nat'l) | 29 (#94 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Tulsa | Tulane |
|---|
| Total yards | 370 | 349 |
| Rush yards | 158 | 146 |
| Pass yards | 212 | 203 |
| Plays | 65 | 61 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
Tulsa Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Tulane
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Tulane's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Tulane |
|---|
| Baylor Hayes (Passing) |
175 yds/gm · 1.3 TD/gm |
6 |
~209 yds · 1.5 TD
(Tulane defense: SP+ #83 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Damari Alston (Rushing) |
44 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
8 |
~52 yds · 0.8 TD
(Tulane defense: SP+ #83 nat'l, 214 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Trequan Jones (Rushing) |
37 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~45 yds · 0.4 TD
(Tulane defense: SP+ #83 nat'l, 214 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Oran Singleton Jr. (Receiving) |
54 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~65 yds · 0.5 TD
(Tulane defense: SP+ #83 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Javon Ross (Receiving) |
32 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~39 yds · 0.3 TD
(Tulane defense: SP+ #83 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jimmy Calloway (Receiving) |
38 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
5 |
~46 yds · 0.2 TD
(Tulane defense: SP+ #83 nat'l, 208 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Baylor Hayes |
1343 | 10 | 2 |
6 |
| Dexter Williams II |
340 | 3 | 0 |
3 |
| Oran Singleton Jr. |
10 | 1 | 0 |
2 |
| Max Tulen |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Damari Alston |
102 | 425 | 6 |
8 |
| Trequan Jones |
60 | 388 | 4 |
8 |
| Seth Davis |
9 | 90 | 1 |
1 |
| DJ McKinney |
14 | 73 | 0 |
5 |
| Baylor Hayes |
35 | 70 | 2 |
6 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Oran Singleton Jr. |
43 | 535 | 4 |
8 |
| Javon Ross |
28 | 327 | 3 |
8 |
| Jimmy Calloway |
23 | 215 | 1 |
5 |
| David Wells Jr. |
15 | 194 | 3 |
6 |
| Donnell Gee Jr. |
9 | 111 | 1 |
4 |
Tulane Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Tulsa
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Tulsa's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Tulsa |
|---|
| Kadin Semonza (Passing) |
135 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
5 |
~172 yds · 0.8 TD
(Tulsa defense: SP+ #94 nat'l, 203 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Johnnie Daniels (Rushing) |
50 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
8 |
~64 yds · 0.7 TD
(Tulsa defense: SP+ #94 nat'l, 202 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Maurice Turner (Rushing) |
44 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
6 |
~57 yds · 0.3 TD
(Tulsa defense: SP+ #94 nat'l, 202 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Destyn Hill (Receiving) |
45 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~57 yds · 0.3 TD
(Tulsa defense: SP+ #94 nat'l, 203 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Anthony Brown (Receiving) |
27 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~34 yds · 0.1 TD
(Tulsa defense: SP+ #94 nat'l, 203 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Bredell Richardson (Receiving) |
17 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~22 yds · 0.0 TD
(Tulsa defense: SP+ #94 nat'l, 203 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Kadin Semonza |
804 | 4 | 2 |
5 |
| Trace Johnson |
749 | 2 | 4 |
4 |
| Zeon Chriss |
64 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
| Dagan Bruno |
10 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Johnnie Daniels |
79 | 493 | 6 |
8 |
| Maurice Turner |
43 | 341 | 2 |
6 |
| Jaylin Lucas |
39 | 293 | 1 |
8 |
| Jamauri McClure |
15 | 45 | 0 |
3 |
| DJ Dugar Jr. |
11 | 35 | 0 |
4 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Destyn Hill |
32 | 390 | 2 |
7 |
| Anthony Brown |
23 | 277 | 1 |
8 |
| Bredell Richardson |
15 | 153 | 0 |
8 |
| Garrett Mmahat |
10 | 135 | 0 |
6 |
| Jaylin Lucas |
10 | 126 | 1 |
6 |