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Rutgers @ Wisconsin
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Camp Randall Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Wisconsin
by 16.1
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Wisconsin -16.5,
O/U 46.5
Flags
No flags cleared the threshold for this matchup — nothing stood out in the stats gathered so far.
Rutgers Offense vs. Wisconsin Defense
Rutgers offense: 8 games this season ·
Wisconsin defense: 8 games this season
Rutgers: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 45 nationally ·
Wisconsin: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 55 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Rutgers offense | Wisconsin defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 377 #75 | 290 #17 |
| Rush yards | 150 #78 | 102 #23 |
| Pass yards | 227 #69 | 188 #34 |
| Plays | 63 | 67 |
| 3rd down % | 40% #69 | 41% #101 |
| Turnovers | 2 #126 | 1 #78 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 29 (#54 nat'l) | 15 (#9 nat'l) |
Wisconsin Offense vs. Rutgers Defense
Wisconsin offense: 8 games this season ·
Rutgers defense: 8 games this season
Wisconsin: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 40 nationally ·
Rutgers: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 60 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Wisconsin offense | Rutgers defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 318 #127 | 418 #122 |
| Rush yards | 138 #95 | 194 #127 |
| Pass yards | 180 #118 | 224 #88 |
| Plays | 58 | 63 |
| 3rd down % | 42% #53 | 48% #129 |
| Turnovers | 1 #48 | 1 #108 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 24 (#93 nat'l) | 34 (#124 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Rutgers | Wisconsin |
|---|
| Total yards | 377 | 318 |
| Rush yards | 150 | 138 |
| Pass yards | 227 | 180 |
| Plays | 63 | 58 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
Rutgers Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Wisconsin
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Wisconsin's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Wisconsin |
|---|
| Dylan Lonergan (Passing) |
206 yds/gm · 1.9 TD/gm |
5 |
~136 yds · 1.2 TD
(Wisconsin defense: SP+ #9 nat'l, 188 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Antwan Raymond (Rushing) |
106 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
8 |
~70 yds · 0.5 TD
(Wisconsin defense: SP+ #9 nat'l, 102 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Clay Thevenin (Rushing) |
62 yds/gm · 0.8 TD/gm |
8 |
~41 yds · 0.5 TD
(Wisconsin defense: SP+ #9 nat'l, 102 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| KJ Duff (Receiving) |
111 yds/gm · 1.1 TD/gm |
7 |
~73 yds · 0.8 TD
(Wisconsin defense: SP+ #9 nat'l, 188 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jourdin Houston (Receiving) |
45 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~30 yds · 0.2 TD
(Wisconsin defense: SP+ #9 nat'l, 188 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Ben Black (Receiving) |
38 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
6 |
~25 yds · 0.3 TD
(Wisconsin defense: SP+ #9 nat'l, 188 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Dylan Lonergan |
1066 | 10 | 6 |
5 |
| AJ Surace |
662 | 7 | 5 |
6 |
| Sean Ashenfelder |
50 | 0 | 1 |
2 |
| Jakob Anderson |
40 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Antwan Raymond |
134 | 733 | 6 |
8 |
| Clay Thevenin |
80 | 435 | 5 |
8 |
| Dylan Lonergan |
22 | 49 | 0 |
6 |
| Aiden Gibson |
11 | 35 | 0 |
2 |
| Ja'shon Benjamin |
3 | 12 | 0 |
1 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| KJ Duff |
45 | 774 | 9 |
7 |
| Jourdin Houston |
18 | 264 | 1 |
7 |
| Ben Black |
10 | 195 | 2 |
6 |
| Antwan Raymond |
14 | 160 | 1 |
7 |
| Dyzier Carter |
11 | 151 | 0 |
4 |
Wisconsin Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Rutgers
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Rutgers's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Rutgers |
|---|
| Colton Joseph (Passing) |
186 yds/gm · 1.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~277 yds · 2.1 TD
(Rutgers defense: SP+ #124 nat'l, 224 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Colton Joseph (Rushing) |
49 yds/gm · 0.5 TD/gm |
8 |
~73 yds · 0.8 TD
(Rutgers defense: SP+ #124 nat'l, 194 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Abu Sama III (Rushing) |
65 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
6 |
~96 yds · 0.2 TD
(Rutgers defense: SP+ #124 nat'l, 194 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Tyrell Henry (Receiving) |
50 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~75 yds · 0.1 TD
(Rutgers defense: SP+ #124 nat'l, 224 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jacob Harris (Receiving) |
34 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~51 yds · 0.6 TD
(Rutgers defense: SP+ #124 nat'l, 224 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Chris Brooks Jr. (Receiving) |
34 yds/gm · 0.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~50 yds · 0.5 TD
(Rutgers defense: SP+ #124 nat'l, 224 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Colton Joseph |
1346 | 11 | 5 |
8 |
| Ryan Hopkins |
93 | 0 | 1 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Colton Joseph |
91 | 371 | 4 |
8 |
| Abu Sama III |
57 | 318 | 1 |
6 |
| Darrion Dupree |
54 | 237 | 2 |
7 |
| Bryan Jackson |
34 | 123 | 1 |
5 |
| Nate Palmer |
9 | 26 | 0 |
3 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Tyrell Henry |
30 | 397 | 1 |
8 |
| Jacob Harris |
17 | 264 | 3 |
8 |
| Chris Brooks Jr. |
15 | 252 | 3 |
8 |
| Eugene Hilton Jr. |
14 | 143 | 1 |
7 |
| Malachi Coleman |
5 | 122 | 2 |
2 |