Fresno State @ USC
2026-09-05T01:00:00.000Z · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Power rating (SP+) implies USC by 21.6 (rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): USC -22.5 (opened -23.5), O/U 51.5
Flags
USC
- side USC is committing more turnovers than it forces by 1.0/game (1 game) — turnover margin is one of the least sticky season-over-season stats, a candidate to regress.
Fresno State Offense vs. USC Defense
Fresno State offense: 0 games this season REBUILD · 38% returning · USC defense: 1 game this season
Fresno State: no games played yet this season · USC: opponents faced (1 game): average offense SP+ rank 113 nationally
Fresno State — who's actually back: E.J. Warner (Passing, 1811 yds, 12 TD last season) — departed · Rayshon Luke (Rushing, 685 yds, 6 TD last season) — back · Josiah Freeman (Receiving, 499 yds, 6 TD last season) — back
| Stat (per game) | Fresno State offense | USC defense allowed |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | — | 336.0 |
| Rush yards | — | 102.0 |
| Pass yards | — | 234.0 |
| Plays | — | 56.0 |
| 3rd down % | — | 45% |
| Turnovers | — | 0.0 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 21.0 (#103 nat'l) | 19.9 (#28 nat'l) |
USC Offense vs. Fresno State Defense
USC offense: 1 game this season · Fresno State defense: 0 games this season
USC: opponents faced (1 game): average defense SP+ rank 110 nationally · Fresno State: no games played yet this season
USC — who's actually back: Jayden Maiava (Passing, 3431 yds, 23 TD last season) — back · King Miller (Rushing, 873 yds, 7 TD last season) — back · Makai Lemon (Receiving, 1156 yds, 11 TD last season) — departed
| Stat (per game) | USC offense | Fresno State defense allowed |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 505.0 | — |
| Rush yards | 164.0 | — |
| Pass yards | 341.0 | — |
| Plays | 76.0 | — |
| 3rd down % | 69% | — |
| Turnovers | 1.0 | — |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 38.0 (#6 nat'l) | 22.4 (#44 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Fresno State | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | — | 505.0 |
| Rush yards | — | 164.0 |
| Pass yards | — | 341.0 |
| Plays | — | 76.0 |
| Turnovers | — | 1.0 |
Fresno State Players
Likely contributors — ranked by 2025 usage among players still on the roster, not an official depth chart (none exists publicly).
QB
| Khristian Martin transfer, Maryland | 17 att · 105 yds · 1 TD last season |
Other QBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Deagan Rose, Jacob Chambers, Jayden Mandal, Jonathan Craft
RB
| Bryson Donelson | 136 car · 563 yds · 5 TD last season |
| Tariq Thomas transfer, Bucknell | 131 car · 602 yds · 3 TD last season |
| Rayshon Luke | 106 car · 685 yds · 6 TD last season |
| Brandon Ramirez | 49 car · 218 yds · 3 TD last season |
Other RBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Andrew Chavez, Jalen Harris, Julius Gillick, Maddox Merrill
WR
| Josiah Freeman | 45 rec · 499 yds · 6 TD last season |
| Ezekiel Avit | 25 rec · 226 yds · 0 TD last season |
| Jahlil McClain | 13 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD last season |
| Jayon Farrar | 12 rec · 114 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other WRs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Darrian Anderson, Harold Duvall, Isaiah Dillon, Jaylen Garrison, Jordan Malau'ulu, Keynan Cotton, Malakai Sumter, Maxwell Young, Tyler Becker, Xavier Owens
TE
| Jake Appleget transfer, Northern Illinois | 7 rec · 57 yds · 1 TD last season |
| Brock Lium | 2 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other TEs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Brayden Ford, Bryce Mcdaniel, Dallas Gaius-Anyaegbu, Gavin Correia, Jace Nixon, Robert Lucero, Ryan Lewis, Sebastien Boydell, Sylas Austin, Zane Gerbo
Passing
No passing stats yet.
Rushing
No rushing stats yet.
Receiving
No receiving stats yet.
USC Players
Likely contributors — ranked by 2025 usage among players still on the roster, not an official depth chart (none exists publicly).
QB
| Jayden Maiava | 373 att · 3431 yds · 23 TD last season |
| Sam Huard | 1 att · 10 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other QBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Alex Medyn, James Johnson, Jonas Williams, Will Doherty
RB
| King Miller | 131 car · 873 yds · 7 TD last season |
| Waymond Jordan | 88 car · 576 yds · 5 TD last season |
| Riley Wormley | 2 car · 7 yds · 0 TD last season |
| Cian McKelvey | 1 car · 4 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other RBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Deshonne Redeaux, Kayne Miller, Shahn Alston, Tyson Park
WR
| Terrell Anderson transfer, NC State | 38 rec · 637 yds · 5 TD last season |
| Tanook Hines | 28 rec · 398 yds · 2 TD last season |
| Zacharyus Williams | 3 rec · 80 yds · 0 TD last season |
| Corey Simms | 1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other WRs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Cameron Sermons, Ethan Feaster, Grant Woods, Griffin Brahm, Kayden Dixon-Wyatt, Luc Weaver, Luke Degner, Marcus Sung, Roderick Tezeno, Romero Ison, Seth Zamora, Trent Mosley, Tron Baker
TE
| Tucker Ashcraft transfer, Wisconsin | 2 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD last season |
| Carson Tabaracci | 1 rec · 9 yds · 1 TD last season |
Other TEs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Fisher Melton, Josiah Jefferson, Manoah Leiato, Mark Bowman, Patrick O'Brien, Taniela Tupou, Walter Matthews
Passing
| Jayden Maiava | 286.0 yds | 2.0 TD | 0.0 INT |
| Jonas Williams | 55.0 yds | 0.0 TD | 1.0 INT |
Rushing
| King Miller | 15.0 car | 63.0 yds | 1.0 TD |
| Waymond Jordan | 8.0 car | 48.0 yds | 0.0 TD |
| Shahn Alston | 7.0 car | 30.0 yds | 1.0 TD |
| Deshonne Redeaux | 2.0 car | 26.0 yds | 0.0 TD |
| Riley Wormley | 1.0 car | 5.0 yds | 1.0 TD |
Receiving
| Trent Mosley | 7.0 rec | 118.0 yds | 1.0 TD |
| Tron Baker | 4.0 rec | 45.0 yds | 0.0 TD |
| Corey Simms | 4.0 rec | 42.0 yds | 0.0 TD |
| Kayden Dixon-Wyatt | 4.0 rec | 36.0 yds | 1.0 TD |
| Zach Williams | 3.0 rec | 31.0 yds | 0.0 TD |