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Louisville @ Georgia Tech
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Bobby Dodd Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Louisville
by 10.8
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Georgia Tech +13.5,
O/U 59.5
Flags
Louisville
- 🟡 side Louisville averages 267 pass yds/game (8 games) — Georgia Tech allows 195 pass yds/game on defense (8 games). Overall SP+ doesn't contradict it either: Louisville #25 nat'l, Georgia Tech #75 nat'l.
Louisville Offense vs. Georgia Tech Defense
Louisville offense: 8 games this season ·
Georgia Tech defense: 8 games this season
Louisville: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 71 nationally ·
Georgia Tech: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 64 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Louisville offense | Georgia Tech defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 492 #8 | 414 #121 |
| Rush yards | 225 #9 | 219 #134 |
| Pass yards | 267 #27 | 195 #40 |
| Plays | 63 | 71 |
| 3rd down % | 47% #24 | 42% #110 |
| Turnovers | 1 #25 | 1 #121 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 38 (#6 nat'l) | 29 (#95 nat'l) |
Georgia Tech Offense vs. Louisville Defense
Georgia Tech offense: 8 games this season ·
Louisville defense: 8 games this season
Georgia Tech: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 55 nationally ·
Louisville: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 45 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Georgia Tech offense | Louisville defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 361 #87 | 411 #118 |
| Rush yards | 120 #114 | 142 #70 |
| Pass yards | 241 #54 | 269 #130 |
| Plays | 64 | 74 |
| 3rd down % | 31% #135 | 32% #28 |
| Turnovers | 1 #76 | 2 #14 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 28 (#57 nat'l) | 25 (#61 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Louisville | Georgia Tech |
|---|
| Total yards | 492 | 361 |
| Rush yards | 225 | 120 |
| Pass yards | 267 | 241 |
| Plays | 63 | 64 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Louisville Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Georgia Tech
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Georgia Tech's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Georgia Tech |
|---|
| Lincoln Kienholz (Passing) |
250 yds/gm · 1.4 TD/gm |
8 |
~320 yds · 1.8 TD
(Georgia Tech defense: SP+ #95 nat'l, 195 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Isaac Brown (Rushing) |
78 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
8 |
~100 yds · 0.9 TD
(Georgia Tech defense: SP+ #95 nat'l, 219 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Keyjuan Brown (Rushing) |
67 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
7 |
~86 yds · 0.9 TD
(Georgia Tech defense: SP+ #95 nat'l, 219 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Tre Richardson (Receiving) |
73 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~94 yds · 0.3 TD
(Georgia Tech defense: SP+ #95 nat'l, 195 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Lawayne McCoy (Receiving) |
73 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
7 |
~93 yds · 0.7 TD
(Georgia Tech defense: SP+ #95 nat'l, 195 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Treyshun Hurry (Receiving) |
44 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~56 yds · 0.1 TD
(Georgia Tech defense: SP+ #95 nat'l, 195 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Lincoln Kienholz |
2094 | 12 | 3 |
8 |
| Briggs Cherry |
24 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
| Davin Wydner |
19 | 1 | 0 |
1 |
| Ryan Zimmerman |
-1 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Isaac Brown |
92 | 707 | 7 |
8 |
| Keyjuan Brown |
58 | 467 | 5 |
7 |
| Lincoln Kienholz |
80 | 313 | 11 |
8 |
| Marquise Davis |
18 | 140 | 3 |
4 |
| Tre Richardson |
10 | 117 | 1 |
6 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Tre Richardson |
40 | 633 | 2 |
8 |
| Lawayne McCoy |
25 | 513 | 4 |
7 |
| Treyshun Hurry |
31 | 370 | 1 |
8 |
| Jaleel Skinner |
17 | 293 | 3 |
8 |
| Isaac Brown |
15 | 141 | 2 |
7 |
Georgia Tech Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Louisville
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Louisville's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Louisville |
|---|
| Alberto Mendoza (Passing) |
232 yds/gm · 1.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~240 yds · 1.3 TD
(Louisville defense: SP+ #61 nat'l, 269 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Justice Haynes (Rushing) |
79 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
7 |
~82 yds · 0.6 TD
(Louisville defense: SP+ #61 nat'l, 142 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Trelain Maddox (Rushing) |
44 yds/gm · 0.7 TD/gm |
7 |
~46 yds · 0.8 TD
(Louisville defense: SP+ #61 nat'l, 142 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jordan Allen (Receiving) |
69 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~71 yds · 0.1 TD
(Louisville defense: SP+ #61 nat'l, 269 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Dalen Penson (Receiving) |
56 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~58 yds · 0.3 TD
(Louisville defense: SP+ #61 nat'l, 269 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Kevin Roche Jr. (Receiving) |
39 yds/gm · 0.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~40 yds · 0.1 TD
(Louisville defense: SP+ #61 nat'l, 269 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Alberto Mendoza |
1795 | 10 | 6 |
8 |
| Grady Adamson |
135 | 1 | 0 |
3 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Justice Haynes |
112 | 548 | 4 |
7 |
| Trelain Maddox |
48 | 289 | 5 |
7 |
| Grady Adamson |
9 | 68 | 1 |
3 |
| Malachi Hosley |
16 | 61 | 0 |
3 |
| Chad Alexander |
7 | 42 | 1 |
2 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Jordan Allen |
46 | 543 | 1 |
8 |
| Dalen Penson |
28 | 434 | 2 |
8 |
| Kevin Roche Jr. |
35 | 298 | 1 |
8 |
| Trelain Maddox |
17 | 121 | 1 |
7 |
| Chris Corbo |
13 | 121 | 0 |
6 |