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Arkansas @ Auburn
2026-11-07T05:00:00.000Z
· Jordan-Hare Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Auburn
by 9.4
(rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Auburn -10.5 (opened -12.5),
O/U 50.5
Flags
No flags cleared the threshold for this matchup — nothing stood out in the stats gathered so far.
Arkansas Offense vs. Auburn Defense
Arkansas offense: 8 games this season ·
Auburn defense: 8 games this season
Arkansas: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 39 nationally ·
Auburn: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 36 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Arkansas offense | Auburn defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 336 #112 | 408 #115 |
| Rush yards | 105 #131 | 156 #89 |
| Pass yards | 231 #65 | 252 #123 |
| Plays | 69 | 76 |
| 3rd down % | 43% #45 | 41% #101 |
| Turnovers | 2 #103 | 2 #31 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 28 (#60 nat'l) | 20 (#31 nat'l) |
Auburn Offense vs. Arkansas Defense
Auburn offense: 8 games this season ·
Arkansas defense: 8 games this season
Auburn: opponents faced (8 games): average defense SP+ rank 46 nationally ·
Arkansas: opponents faced (8 games): average offense SP+ rank 36 nationally
| Stat (per game) | Auburn offense | Arkansas defense allowed |
|---|
| Total yards | 368 #83 | 362 #71 |
| Rush yards | 153 #73 | 153 #82 |
| Pass yards | 215 #83 | 209 #66 |
| Plays | 70 | 60 |
| 3rd down % | 44% #37 | 43% #116 |
| Turnovers | 1 #76 | 1 #60 |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 26 (#72 nat'l) | 28 (#85 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | Arkansas | Auburn |
|---|
| Total yards | 336 | 368 |
| Rush yards | 105 | 153 |
| Pass yards | 231 | 215 |
| Plays | 69 | 70 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
Arkansas Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Auburn
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Auburn's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Auburn |
|---|
| KJ Jackson (Passing) |
241 yds/gm · 1.0 TD/gm |
8 |
~197 yds · 0.8 TD
(Auburn defense: SP+ #31 nat'l, 252 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Sutton Smith (Rushing) |
32 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~26 yds · 0.2 TD
(Auburn defense: SP+ #31 nat'l, 156 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Cam Settles (Rushing) |
35 yds/gm · 0.2 TD/gm |
7 |
~29 yds · 0.2 TD
(Auburn defense: SP+ #31 nat'l, 156 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Chris Marshall (Receiving) |
96 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
7 |
~79 yds · 0.2 TD
(Auburn defense: SP+ #31 nat'l, 252 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Antonio Jordan (Receiving) |
50 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
5 |
~41 yds · 0.0 TD
(Auburn defense: SP+ #31 nat'l, 252 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Ty Lockwood (Receiving) |
28 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
6 |
~23 yds · 0.2 TD
(Auburn defense: SP+ #31 nat'l, 252 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| KJ Jackson |
1673 | 7 | 5 |
8 |
| AJ Hill |
181 | 1 | 0 |
2 |
| Monte Harrison |
-5 | 0 | 0 |
1 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Sutton Smith |
63 | 217 | 1 |
8 |
| Cam Settles |
55 | 214 | 2 |
7 |
| Braylen Russell |
59 | 205 | 2 |
8 |
| KJ Jackson |
72 | 173 | 4 |
8 |
| Jasper Parker |
11 | 51 | 0 |
6 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Chris Marshall |
43 | 601 | 2 |
7 |
| Antonio Jordan |
15 | 205 | 0 |
5 |
| Ty Lockwood |
16 | 137 | 1 |
6 |
| Jamari Hawkins |
8 | 126 | 0 |
4 |
| CJ Brown |
11 | 120 | 0 |
5 |
Auburn Players
Next Game — Rough Projection vs. Arkansas
"Vacuum pace" is each player's own current-season output, adjusted for how tough the opponents they've already faced were (via opponent-adjusted SP+, not raw stats) — then adjusted again for Arkansas's own opponent-adjusted defensive rank. A rough ratio, not a calibrated model; SP+ doesn't split rush/pass so one factor applies to every category. Next game only.
| Player | Vacuum pace | GP | Projected vs. Arkansas |
|---|
| Byrum Brown (Passing) |
224 yds/gm · 1.2 TD/gm |
8 |
~270 yds · 1.4 TD
(Arkansas defense: SP+ #85 nat'l, 209 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Byrum Brown (Rushing) |
72 yds/gm · 1.1 TD/gm |
8 |
~87 yds · 1.3 TD
(Arkansas defense: SP+ #85 nat'l, 153 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jeremiah Cobb (Rushing) |
48 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~58 yds · 0.3 TD
(Arkansas defense: SP+ #85 nat'l, 153 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Keshaun Singleton (Receiving) |
65 yds/gm · 0.3 TD/gm |
8 |
~79 yds · 0.4 TD
(Arkansas defense: SP+ #85 nat'l, 209 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Chas Nimrod (Receiving) |
56 yds/gm · 0.6 TD/gm |
8 |
~67 yds · 0.7 TD
(Arkansas defense: SP+ #85 nat'l, 209 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
| Jeremiah Koger (Receiving) |
36 yds/gm · 0.0 TD/gm |
7 |
~44 yds · 0.0 TD
(Arkansas defense: SP+ #85 nat'l, 209 raw yds/gm allowed here) |
Passing
| Player |
YDS | TD | INT |
GP |
| Byrum Brown |
1557 | 9 | 7 |
8 |
| Tristan Ti'a |
137 | 0 | 0 |
4 |
| Christian Neptune |
29 | 2 | 0 |
2 |
Rushing
| Player |
CAR | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Byrum Brown |
139 | 485 | 7 |
8 |
| Jeremiah Cobb |
69 | 355 | 2 |
8 |
| Omar Mabson Ii |
47 | 254 | 1 |
7 |
| Bryson Washington |
21 | 76 | 0 |
5 |
| Bryce Cain |
2 | 32 | 0 |
2 |
Receiving
| Player |
REC | YDS | TD |
GP |
| Keshaun Singleton |
39 | 433 | 2 |
8 |
| Chas Nimrod |
37 | 402 | 4 |
8 |
| Jeremiah Koger |
14 | 230 | 0 |
7 |
| DeShawn Spencer |
13 | 149 | 2 |
5 |
| Jake Johnson |
12 | 104 | 0 |
6 |