UL Monroe @ Mississippi State
2026-09-05T23:30:00.000Z · Davis Wade Stadium
Power rating (SP+) implies Mississippi State by 36.2 (rating gap + 2.5-pt home field — a rough estimate, not a specific-venue adjustment).
Market line (DraftKings): Mississippi State -28.5, O/U 55.5
Model vs. market gap: power rating leans 7.7 pts more toward Mississippi State than the market line does.
Flags
No flags cleared the threshold for this matchup — nothing stood out in the stats gathered so far.
UL Monroe Offense vs. Mississippi State Defense
UL Monroe offense: 0 games this season REBUILD · 39% returning · Mississippi State defense: 0 games this season
UL Monroe: no games played yet this season · Mississippi State: no games played yet this season
UL Monroe — who's actually back: Aidan Armenta (Passing, 1619 yds, 12 TD last season) — back · Zachary Palmer-Smith (Rushing, 660 yds, 4 TD last season) — departed · Jonathan Bibbs (Receiving, 383 yds, 3 TD last season) — departed
| Stat (per game) | UL Monroe offense | Mississippi State defense allowed |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | — | — |
| Rush yards | — | — |
| Pass yards | — | — |
| Plays | — | — |
| 3rd down % | — | — |
| Turnovers | — | — |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 11.9 (#136 nat'l) | 26.5 (#74 nat'l) |
Mississippi State Offense vs. UL Monroe Defense
Mississippi State offense: 0 games this season REBUILD · 34% returning · UL Monroe defense: 0 games this season
Mississippi State: no games played yet this season · UL Monroe: no games played yet this season
Mississippi State — who's actually back: Blake Shapen (Passing, 2436 yds, 15 TD last season) — departed · Fluff Bothwell (Rushing, 639 yds, 6 TD last season) — back · Brenen Thompson (Receiving, 948 yds, 6 TD last season) — departed
| Stat (per game) | Mississippi State offense | UL Monroe defense allowed |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | — | — |
| Rush yards | — | — |
| Pass yards | — | — |
| Plays | — | — |
| 3rd down % | — | — |
| Turnovers | — | — |
| SP+ rating (opponent-adjusted) | 30.8 (#35 nat'l) | 40.1 (#135 nat'l) |
Raw Box Score (season averages, side by side)
| Stat (per game) | UL Monroe | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | — | — |
| Rush yards | — | — |
| Pass yards | — | — |
| Plays | — | — |
| Turnovers | — | — |
UL Monroe Players
Likely contributors — ranked by 2025 usage among players still on the roster, not an official depth chart (none exists publicly).
QB
| Aidan Armenta | 252 att · 1619 yds · 12 TD last season |
| Landon Graves | 40 att · 185 yds · 2 TD last season |
Other QBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Austin Carlisle, Bryson Kimbrough, Ty Purdy
RB
Other RBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Bryson Roland, CJ Phillip, Christian Ponti, Derrick Jameson, Don Chaney, Jaydon Wright, Julian Walker, Trevon Kinchen
WR
| Nic Trujillo | 23 rec · 368 yds · 4 TD last season |
| JP Coulter | 21 rec · 234 yds · 0 TD last season |
| Brandon Buckhaulter | 4 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD last season |
Other WRs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Bret Vincent, Demarcco Blanton, Jaiden Tucker, Javon Campbell, Keidric Osunde-Brown, LT Robinson, Marcellus Jackson, Marcus Galloway, Parker Fulghum
TE
| Cade Callahan transfer, Merrimack | 19 rec · 279 yds · 3 TD last season |
| Bryce Anderson transfer, Memphis | 11 rec · 86 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other TEs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Dalen Huston, Jase Hoath, Nate Green, Quad Harrison, Steven Gorski
Passing
No passing stats yet.
Rushing
No rushing stats yet.
Receiving
No receiving stats yet.
Mississippi State Players
Likely contributors — ranked by 2025 usage among players still on the roster, not an official depth chart (none exists publicly).
QB
| AJ Swann transfer, App State | 222 att · 1494 yds · 10 TD last season |
| Kamario Taylor | 55 att · 388 yds · 4 TD last season |
| Jaden Rashada transfer, Sacramento State | 42 att · 264 yds · 1 TD last season |
Other QBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Brodie McWhorter, Parker Puckett
RB
| Fluff Bothwell | 128 car · 639 yds · 6 TD last season |
| Brinston Williams transfer, Western Illinois | 26 car · 137 yds · 1 TD last season |
| Xavier Gayten | 24 car · 149 yds · 2 TD last season |
| Kolin Wilson | 6 car · 26 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other RBs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Cooper Crosby, J.J. Hill
WR
| Anthony Evans III | 63 rec · 751 yds · 4 TD last season |
| Marquis Johnson transfer, Missouri | 28 rec · 345 yds · 2 TD last season |
| Ayden Williams | 19 rec · 222 yds · 0 TD last season |
| Sanfrisco Magee | 3 rec · 33 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other WRs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Bull Mitchell, Camden Capehart, Fisher Southall, Gracen Harris, Jayden Cration, Jayytee Taylor, Jessie Primer IV, Junior Henderson, Matt Mayfield, Zion Crumpton, Zion Ragins
TE
| Sam West | 4 rec · 35 yds · 1 TD last season |
| Riley Williams transfer, Oregon State | 1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD last season |
Other TEs on the roster, no 2025 production here to rank by: Adam Land, Joeseph Skipworth, Luke Hutchinson, Zayion Cotton
Passing
No passing stats yet.
Rushing
No rushing stats yet.
Receiving
No receiving stats yet.